In demographics, the world population is the total number of humans currently living. As of August 2016,
it was estimated at 7.4 billion. The United Nations estimates it will further increase to
11.2 billion in the year 2100.
World population has experienced continuous growth since the end of the Great Famine of
1315–17 and the Black Death in
1350, when it was near 370 million. The
highest population growth
rates – global
population increases above 1.8% per year – occurred between 1955-1975 peaking
to 2.06% between 1965 -1970. The growth rate has declined to 1.18% between
2010-2015 and is projected to decline to 0.13% by the year 2100. Total annual
births were highest in the late 1980s at about 139 million, and are now expected to remain
essentially constant at their 2011 level of 135 million, while deaths number 56 million
per year and are expected to increase to 80 million per year by 2040. World
population reached 7 billion on October
31, 2011 according to the United
Nations Population Fund, and
on March 12, 2012 according to the United States
Census Bureau.
The median age of
the world's population was estimated to be 30.1 years in 2016, with the male
median age estimated to be 29.4 years and female, 30.9 years.
The 2012 UN projections show a continued increase in population
in the near future with a steady decline in population growth rate; the global
population is expected to reach between 8.3 and 10.9 billion by 2050.
2003 UN
Population Division population
projections for the year 2150 range between 3.2 and 24.8 billion. One of many
independent mathematical models supports the lower estimate, while a 2014 estimate forecasts
between 9.3 and 12.6 billion in 2100, and continued growth thereafter. Some analysts have questioned the
sustainability of further world population growth, highlighting the growing
pressures on the environment, global food supplies, and energy
resources.
Estimates on the total number of humans who
have ever lived range
in the order of 106 to 108 billion.
Population by region
Six of the Earth's
seven continents are permanently
inhabited on a large scale. Asia is the most populous continent, with its 4.3
billion inhabitants accounting for 60% of the world population. The world's two
most populated countries alone, China and India, together constitute about 37% of the world's
population. Africa is the second most
populated continent, with around 1 billion people, or 15% of the world's
population. Europe's 733 million people make up 12% of the world's
population as of 2012, while the Latin American and Caribbean regions are home to
around 600 million (9%). Northern America, primarily consisting of the United States, Mexico, and Canada, has a population of around 352 million (5%), and Oceania, the least-populated region, has
about 35 million inhabitants (0.5%).Though it is not permanently inhabited by
any fixed population, Antarctica has a small,
fluctuating international population, based mainly in polar science stations.
This population tends to rise in the summer months and decrease significantly
in winter, as visiting researchers return to their home countries.
Projections
Main articles: World population estimates and Projections of population growth
Long-term global population growth is difficult to predict. The
United Nations and the US Census Bureau both give different estimates –
according to the UN, the world population reached seven billion in late 2011, while the USCB asserted that this
occurred in March 2012. The UN
has issued multiple projections of future world population, based on different
assumptions. From 2000 to 2005, the UN consistently revised these projections
downward, until the 2006 revision, issued on March 14, 2007, revised the 2050
mid-range estimate upwards by 273 million.
Average global birth rates are declining fast, but vary greatly
between developed countries (where birth rates are often at or below
replacement levels) and developing countries (where birth rates typically
remain high). Different ethnicities also display varying birth rates. Death rates can change rapidly due to disease epidemics, wars and other mass catastrophes, or advances in
medicine.
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